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The formula is: uPER = (1 / MP) * [ 3P. + (2/3) * AST. + (2 - factor * (team_AST / team_FG)) * FG. + (FT *0.5 * (1 + (1 - (team_AST / team_FG)) + (2/3) * (team_AST / team_FG))) - VOP * TOV. - VOP * DRB% * (FGA - FG) - VOP * 0.44 * (0.44 + (0.56 * DRB%)) * (FTA - FT) + VOP * (1 - DRB%) * (TRB - ORB) + VOP * DRB% * ORB. + VOP * STL.
The basic building blocks of the Offensive Rating calculation are Individual Total Possessions and Individual Points Produced. The formula for Total Possessions is broken down into four components: Scoring Possessions, Missed FG Possessions, Missed FT Possessions, and Turnovers. The Scoring Possessions formula is by far the most complex:
- Introduction
- Building The Model
- Example
- Summary
What statistics or accomplishments have the Hallof Famevoters deemed to be most important? This question can beanswered using a technique called logistic regression. The logisticregression model is a binary response model where the response isclassified as either a "success" (in this case, being elected to the Hallof Fame) or a "failure" (not being...
For the Hall of Fame problem, we tried to use as many predictor variables as we could. Player awards, sustained effectiveness as measured by appearances on leaderboards, and peak dominance (measured as a player's peak Win Shares output), all have explanatory value. Number of championships is a strong predictor, as well, along with the player's heig...
The parameter estimates given in the previous section can be used to obtainthe predicted probability of Hall of Fame election for a particularplayer. We'll go through an example using Tony Parkerfollowing the 2013-14 season. Find the values of the five predictor variables for Parker, multiply them by the coefficients given below, and find the sum o...
Hall of Fame probabilities are presented for all players with a minimum of400 NBA games played. Although it can be risky to make predictions foractive players, you can think of these probabilities as answering thequestion "If this player retired today, what is the probability he wouldbe elected to the Hall of Fame?".
For the 1964-65 Royals this is 0.16 * (114.2 + 111.9) = 36.176. Credit Offensive Win Shares to the players. Offensive Win Shares are credited using the following formula: (marginal offense) / (marginal points per win). Robertson gets credit for 516.06 / 36.176 = 14.27 Offensive Win Shares. IV.
Box Plus/Minus, Version 2.0 (BPM) is a basketball box score-based metric that estimates a basketball player’s contribution to the team when that player is on the court. It is based only on the information in the traditional basketball box score--no play-by-play data or non-traditional box score data (like dunks or deflections) are included.
Draft: Utah Jazz, 1st round (3rd pick, 3rd overall), 1982 NBA Draft. NBA Debut: October 29, 1982. Hall of Fame: Inducted as Player in 2006 ( Full List ) Career Length: 15 years. More bio, uniform, draft, salary info. Hall of Fame. 9x All Star.
Assist percentage is an estimate of the percentage of teammate field goals a player assisted while he was on the floor. Award Share - The formula is (award points) / (maximum number of award points). For example, in the 2002-03 MVP voting Tim Duncan had 962 points out of a possible 1190. His MVP award share is 962 / 1190 = 0.81.