利率計算公式 相關
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搜尋結果
BPM starts by assuming that every player on the team has contributed equally. If the team is good, all of the players are assumed to be equally good. the box score information is added to revise the evaluation. All of the box score data is measured relative to the other players on the team.
- I. Introduction
- II. What Is A Win Share?
- III. Crediting Offensive Win Shares to Players
- IV. Crediting Defensive Win Shares to Players
- V. Putting It All Together
- VI. Does This Work?
- VII. Feedback
- VIII. Revision History
Win Shares is a player statistic which attempts to divvy up credit for team success to the individuals on the team. Full details are available below, but the important things to note are that it is calculated using player, team and league-wide statistics and the sum of player win shares on a given team will be roughly equal to that team’s win total...
Bill James developed his system such that one win is equivalent to threeWin Shares. My system deviates from James's system in three key ways: 1. In James's system, one win is equivalent to threeWin Shares. In my system, one win is equivalent to one Win Share. 2. James made team Win Shares directly proportional toteam wins. In his system, a baseball...
A. 1977-78 to present NBA
Offensive Win Shares are credited to players based on Dean Oliver's pointsproduced and offensive possessions. The formulas are quite detailed, so Iwould point you to Oliver's book Basketball on Paper forcomplete details. The process for crediting Offensive Win Shares isoutlined below (using LeBronJames of the 2008-09 ClevelandCavaliersas an example): 1. Calculate points producedfor each player.In 2008-09, James had an estimated 2345.9 pointsproduced. 2. Calculate offensivepossessions for each...
B. 1973-74 to 1976-77 NBA
The NBA did not track player turnovers until the 1977-78 season, and playerturnovers are needed to calculate player possessions. However, the NBA didtrack turnovers at the team level from 1973-74 to 1976-77. Since playerturnovers are the only thing holding us back from using the methodoutlined above, I have chosen to estimate player turnovers for this timeperiod. Player turnovers are estimated as follows (using KareemAbdul-Jabbar of the 1976-77 LosAngeles Lakersas an example): 1. Obtain an in...
C. 1946-47 to 1948-49 BAA and 1949-50 to 1972-73 NBA
Because so many statistics are missing prior to the 1973-74 season(offensive rebounds, turnovers, etc.), we will not use Oliver's pointsproduced and offensive possessions for this time period, although thebasic framework will remain the same. Here is the process for creditingOffensive Win Shares prior to the 1973-74 season (using OscarRobertson of the 1964-65 CincinnatiRoyalsas an example): 1. Calculate the player'smodified points. The formula is:2.0 * (field goals) * (1 - ((team assists) / (...
A. 1973-74 to present NBA
Crediting Defensive Win Shares to players is based on Dean Oliver'sDefensive Rating. Defensive Rating is an estimate of the player's pointsallowed per 100 defensive possessions (please see Oliver's book forfurther details). Here is a description of the process (once again usingLeBronJamesin 2008-09 as an example): 1. Calculate the DefensiveRating for each player.James's Defensive Rating in 2008-09 was99.1. 2. Calculate marginal defensefor each player.Marginal defense is equal to (player minut...
B. 1951-52 to 1972-73 NBA
Prior to the 1973-74 season, the NBA did not track defensive rebounds,steals, or blocks, so allocating defensive credit is a difficult task.Nevertheless, here is the process for crediting Defensive Win Shares inthose seasons (once again using Robertson in 1964-65 as an example): 1. Calculate team marginaldefense.Team marginal defense is equal to 1.08 * (league pointsper shot attempt) * (team field goal attempts + 0.44 * (team free throwattempts)) - (opponent points). If you're wondering why w...
B. 1950-51 NBA
Prior to the 1951-52 season, the NBA did not track minutes played, soallocating defensive credit is an even more difficult task. Nevertheless,here is the process for crediting Defensive Win Shares in the 1950-51season (using GeorgeMikanas an example): 1. Calculate team marginaldefense.Team marginal defense is equal to 1.08 * (league pointsper shot attempt) * (team field goal attempts + 0.44 * (team free throwattempts)) - (opponent points). If you're wondering why we're using teamshot attempts...
The final step of the process is to add Offensive Win Shares to DefensiveWin Shares. In our examples, LeBronJames total in 2008-09 is 13.73 + 6.54 = 20.27 Win Shares and OscarRobertsontotal in 1964-65 is 14.27 + 2.69 = 16.96 Win Shares.
Because this metric is designed to estimate a player's contribution interms of wins, it makes sense to see if the sum of player Win Shares for aparticular team closely matches the team win total. For the 2008-09Cavaliers the sum of player Win Shares is 67.9, while the team win totalis 66, an error of 66 - 67.9 = -1.9 wins. For the 1964-65 Royals th...
If you have any comments or questions about the Win Shares methodology,please send me some feedback.
Version 4.0
1. Extended Win Shares back to the 1946-47 BAA season.
Version 3.1
1. Changed the calculation of marginal points per win. Prior to this updatethe league average marginal points per win was used for all players, butnow the pace-adjusted league average is used instead.
Version 3.0
1. Extended Win Shares back to the 1951-52 NBA season.
Checkout the complete list of NBA & ABACareer Leaders and Records for and more on Basketball-Reference.com All logos are the trademark & property of their owners and not Sports Reference LLC. We present them here for purely educational purposes.
The Player Efficiency Rating (PER) is a per-minute rating developed by ESPN.com columnist . In John's words, "The PER sums up all a player's positive accomplishments, subtracts the negative accomplishments, and returns a per-minute rating of a player's performance."
Assist percentage is an estimate of the percentage of teammate field goals a player assisted while he was on the floor. - The formula is (award points) / (maximum number of award points). For example, in the had 962 points out of a possible 1190. His MVP award share is 962 / 1190 = 0.81. - Blocks (available since the 1973-74 season in the NBA ...
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Out of necessity (owing to a lack of defensive data in the basic boxscore), individual Defensive Ratings are heavily influenced by the team's defensive efficiency. They assume that all teammates are equally good (per minute) at forcing non-steal turnovers and non-block misses, as well as assuming that all teammates face the same number of total ...
利率計算公式 相關
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